💡 Today's US market in three lines
① Today's three stocks: Lockheed Martin · Tenable · Booz Allen Hamilton
② What rose today: cybersecurity, semiconductors, aerospace and defense
③ What pulled back: clean energy, fintech, oil
Today's Sector Relative Strength (RS)
- Technology carried the market on October 26. The Nasdaq closed at 26,169.38 (+0.82%), the S&P 500 at 7,676.77 (+0.70%), and the Dow at 52,361.58 (+0.28%). Reports tied the move to Anthropic's IPO filing, which revived the AI trade after two losing weeks for the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq. The 10-year Treasury yield held at 4.99%. The oil fund (USO) fell -1.95%, and the VIX eased to 18.39.
- Of the 129 ETFs in our universe, 95 closed higher, 33 fell, and one was flat. Technology (XLK) led the 11 sectors at +1.69%. Communication services (XLC) was last at -1.57%.
Today's Leading Sectors TOP 5
| ETF | 1-Day | RS Rank 1M | Short-Term | Mid-Term | Long-Term |
| WisdomTree Cloud Computing (WCLD) | +0.73% | 98 | 🔺 | 🔺 | 🔺 |
| iShares U.S. Oil and Gas Exploration (IEO) | +1.40% | 97 | 🔺 | 🔺 | 🔺 |
| United States Oil Fund (USO) | -1.95% | 96 | 🔺 | 🔺 | 🔺 |
| iShares Cybersecurity and Tech (IHAK) | +3.04% | 96 | 🔺 | 🔺 | 🔺 |
| Global X Cybersecurity (BUG) | +2.98% | 95 | 🔺 | 🔺 | 🔺 |
- Four of the five seats held from Friday. Oil and gas exploration (IEO) came in at 97 and energy (XLE) slipped to 94. The oil fund kept its seat on a down day. That shows how far ahead of the field it ran this month.
Why They're Strong — Sector Issues
· Cybersecurity (BUG) — Up +2.98%, sheet RS rank 95, and +14.60% over five sessions. Rapid7 jumped +20.25% and Tenable +8.12%. No single report explained Monday's move, so this reads as money staying with last week's winners.
· Semiconductors (SOXX) — Up +2.85%, but the sheet RS rank is only 21. Analog names did the lifting: Texas Instruments +4.72%, NXP +4.64%, Analog Devices +4.31%. The fund is still -14.12% over one month and below its 1-month and 1-quarter averages.
· Aerospace and defense (XAR) — Up +2.60%, sheet RS rank 35. Lockheed Martin rose +5.13% after Morgan Stanley upgraded it on reduced F-35 uncertainty, according to reports. The fund still sits below all three moving averages.
· Cloud computing (WCLD) — Up +0.73%, sheet RS rank 98 and first place. Its 1-month return of +16.06% remains the best in our universe.
What Changed From Yesterday
- Cybersecurity (CIBR) posted the biggest one-day rank gain, 77 to 92. About half of it came from price. The other half came from a weak day a month ago leaving the calculation window.
- Clean energy (ICLN) fell from 43 to 26, and about two thirds of that drop was Monday's -2.93% price move. Friday's report said oil services would give back first if oil turned. Oil fell, yet oil services (OIH) still rose +1.27%. That call has not been tested yet.
1-Month RS Trend
- Cybersecurity (BUG) climbed from 62 to 98 over the window. Semiconductors (SOXX) touched 100 and now sit at 13. Humanoid robotics (HUMN) moved from 33 to 43, clean energy (ICLN) from 17 to 26, and communication services (XLC) dropped from 61 to 31.
RS Breakdown Warnings
- Natural gas (UNG) fell from 73 to 14, the deepest drop. Communication services (XLC), social media (SOCL), metaverse (METV), and e-commerce (EBIZ) joined it, so the warning now covers internet and media stocks just before Alphabet reports. Eight other funds met the point threshold but were dropped: seven rose on Monday, and one moved the other way on the sheet.
RS Rebound Signals
- Dividend REITs (SRET) rose from 24 to 60, the largest move. Humanoid robotics (HUMN), banks (KBWB), broker-dealers (IAI), pharmaceuticals (XPH), and space (UFO) also qualified. Three other funds met the threshold but fell on Monday and were dropped.
Today's Top Rising Sectors TOP 5 (by 1-day %)
| ETF | 1-Day | RS Rank 1M | Short-Term | Mid-Term | Long-Term |
| iShares Cybersecurity and Tech (IHAK) | +3.04% | 96 | 🔺 | 🔺 | 🔺 |
| Global X Cybersecurity (BUG) | +2.98% | 95 | 🔺 | 🔺 | 🔺 |
| iShares Semiconductor (SOXX) | +2.85% | 21 | 🔽 | 🔽 | 🔺 |
| VanEck Semiconductor (SMH) | +2.74% | 31 | 🔽 | 🔽 | 🔺 |
| VanEck Fabless Semiconductor (SMHX) | +2.64% | 25 | 🔽 | 🔽 | 🔺 |
Why They Rose
- The rising table is two cybersecurity funds and three chip funds. The cybersecurity pair already rank near the top. The chip funds rank 21 to 31, so Monday was a bounce inside a downtrend. On the other side, clean energy (ICLN) -2.93%, fintech (FINX) -1.97%, the oil fund (USO) -1.95%, and communication services (XLC) -1.57% led the decliners.
Leading Sectors: Cybersecurity, Semiconductors, Aerospace and Defense
- ① Cybersecurity ranks 95 to 96 with all three moving averages below the price. Tenable reports on Wednesday. That is the first test of whether the rally has earnings behind it.
- ② Semiconductors led the rebound but rank only 21. A move back above the 1-month average would turn a bounce into a trend change.
- ③ Aerospace and defense ranks 35 and sits below every average. Lockheed's record backlog gives the group a reason, and L3Harris and General Dynamics report this week.
- ④ The last report covered the October 23 close. Its three picks from that close to Monday's: Zscaler +2.08%, Qualys +3.90%, and Seadrill -0.76%, against +0.70% for the S&P 500. Two of the three beat the market. Recorded as is.
Today's Three Stocks — Lockheed Martin · Tenable · Booz Allen Hamilton Stock Forecast
- Fifty-five stocks passed the four-part filter. These three fit the day's leaders.
Lockheed Martin (LMT) — Fighter Jets and Missile Defense Stock Forecast
| Stock | RS 1D | RS 5D | RS 1M | 1M Return | Held By |
| Lockheed Martin (LMT) | 97 | 98 | 96 | +22.3% | Global X Defense Tech 9.3% · iShares Aerospace and Defense 5.6% · SPDR Kensho Final Frontiers 4.2% |
- Closed at $635.20, +5.13%, its highest close since early April. Lockheed builds the F-35 and the PAC-3 missile. Morgan Stanley's upgrade followed a ten-year F-35 production agreement, according to reports. The Lockheed Martin stock forecast rests on a backlog that keeps growing. For the quarter ended September 27, sales rose +11.3% to $20.71 billion and net earnings rose +14.0% to $1.85 billion, or $7.97 per share. Reports put the backlog at a record $292.0 billion.
Tenable (TENB) — Exposure Management Software Stock Forecast
| Stock | RS 1D | RS 5D | RS 1M | 1M Return | Held By |
| Tenable (TENB) | 100 | 99 | 100 | +44.0% | Global X Cybersecurity 5.1% · iShares Cybersecurity 5.0% · WisdomTree Cloud 1.8% |
- Closed at $48.21, +8.12%, a one-year closing high. Tenable scans corporate networks and cloud accounts for security gaps. It has gained +23.84% in five sessions. The Tenable stock forecast hinges on margins. For the quarter ended June 30, revenue rose +8.6% to $268.5 million and operating income was $12.4 million, against a loss of $7.4 million a year earlier. Third-quarter results come after the close on Wednesday, October 28.
Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) — Defense and Cyber Consulting Stock Forecast
| Stock | RS 1D | RS 5D | RS 1M | 1M Return | Held By |
| Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) | 99 | 97 | 89 | +14.3% | iShares Cybersecurity 3.1% |
- Closed at $83.36, +6.44%, its highest close since early June. Booz Allen sells consulting, cyber, and AI work to US defense and civil agencies. Monday's gain followed an analyst upgrade, according to reports. The Booz Allen Hamilton stock forecast is a profit story, not a sales story. For the quarter ended September 30, revenue fell -3.9% to $2.78 billion and operating income fell -13.4% to $245 million. The company still raised its fiscal 2027 adjusted EPS outlook to $6.50 to $6.70.
Lockheed Martin · Tenable · Booz Allen Hamilton Stock Forecast Checkpoints
· Lockheed Martin stock forecast — The stock is up +15.86% in five sessions. Watch whether it holds above $604.18, Friday's close. The March high close of $676.70 is the next level above.
· Tenable stock forecast — Guidance calls for third-quarter revenue of $270.0 to $273.0 million. Watch whether revenue clears $273.0 million on Wednesday, and whether the stock holds above $44.59.
· Booz Allen Hamilton stock forecast — Sales are still shrinking. Watch whether the stock holds above $78.32, Friday's close. A drop below $73.00, its 20-day average, would end the short-term uptrend.
What to Watch on Next Week's Calendar
- 🔴 Fed rate decision, Wednesday, October 28, 2:00 p.m. ET · September PCE inflation and third-quarter GDP, Thursday, October 29, 8:30 a.m. ET
- This is the first decision since September's hike. The 10-year yield at 4.99% will react first, and growth stocks such as the chip funds feel it most.
- 🔴 Alphabet and Microsoft results, Wednesday, October 28, 4:00 p.m. ET · Amazon results, Thursday, October 29, 4:00 p.m. ET
- Communication services (XLC) carries a breakdown warning at 31. Cloud computing (WCLD) holds first place at 98. These three reports decide which of the two is right.
- NXP results, Tuesday, October 27, 4:00 p.m. ET · 🟡 Intel results, Thursday, October 29, 4:00 p.m. ET
- NXP rose +4.64% and Intel +4.04% on Monday. Their numbers will show whether the chip bounce, at a rank of 21, has demand behind it.
- L3Harris results, Thursday, October 29, 8:00 a.m. ET · General Dynamics results, Friday, October 30, 8:00 a.m. ET
- Aerospace and defense (XAR) ranks only 35 after Monday's +2.60%. Two more prime contractors will show whether Lockheed's backlog is an industry trend.
#LockheedMartin #Tenable #BoozAllenHamilton #USStocks #StockMarket #NASDAQ #StockCharts
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